农民专业合作社发展对农业碳排放的影响研究
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F323

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科技部创新方法工作专项项目(编号:2020IMO30200)


The Impact of Farmers’ Specialized Cooperatives on Agricultural Carbon Emissions
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    摘要:

    在"双碳"战略背景下,农业碳排放减排路径的探讨已成为农业绿色转型的核心议题。农民专业合作社作为连接小农户与现代农业的重要载体,其发展对农业碳排放的影响机制,是值得深入探讨的重要问题。文章利用2013—2023年我国30个省份的面板数据,运用双向固定效应模型与调节效应模型,实证检验了农民专业合作社发展对农业碳排放的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明:农民专业合作社发展对农业碳排放具有抑制作用,且经过一系列稳健性检验后结论仍成立;财政支农强度会削弱农民专业合作社对农业碳排放的抑制效果,具有负向调节作用;区域异质性分析表明,农民专业合作社的碳减排效应在非粮食主产区及东、西部地区显著,而在粮食主产区与中部地区未通过显著性检验。据此,文章提出优化农业专业合作社绿色转型路径、调整财政支农政策方向及实施差异化区域治理的建议,以期为协同推进农业碳减排与高质量发展提供决策依据。

    Abstract:

    Agricultural carbon emission has been one of the major sources of greenhouse gases in China. In this sense, the exploration of carbon emissions reduction in agriculture has become a core issue in the process of China' agricultural green transformations. Farmers' specialized cooperatives are a key organization bridging smallholder farmers and modern agriculture, and the influence of its development on carbon emission reduction is a noteworthy question. In the context of the dual-carbon strategy, this paper, based on the panel data of 30 provinces spanning 2013 to 2023, builds a two-way fixed effect model and a moderating-effect model to empirically test the impact of farmers' specialized cooperatives on agricultural carbon emissions and the mechanism behind it. The research finds that farmers' specialized cooperatives have an inhibitory effect on agricultural carbon emissions, and the conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests. It is also found that the intensity of financial support for agriculture will weaken the inhibitory effect of farmers' specialized cooperatives on agricultural carbon emissions, thus having a negative regulatory effect. Besides, regional heterogeneity shows that the emission reduction effect of cooperatives is significant in non-major grain-producing areas, and the eastern and western regions, but it fails in the significance test in major grain-producing areas and the central regions. Accordingly, this paper proposes some suggestions to optimize the green-transformation pathway for farmers' specialized cooperatives, to adjust the fiscal-support policy for agriculture, and to implement differentiated regional governance. In this vein, this paper expects to provide a decision-making basis for reducing agricultural carbon emission and promoting high-quality agricultural development.

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贾东水,冯登魁.农民专业合作社发展对农业碳排放的影响研究[J].河北工程大学学报社会科学版,2026,(2):21-28

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-23
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-16
  • 出版日期: 2026-06-25
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